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Updated 7 min. ago

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics
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33 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −17.0%1W
Yes 33¢No 68¢

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

6 outcomes
See all 6 outcomes

Total volume

$506.5K

24h vol.

$39.6K

1w vol.

$187.2K

1m vol.

$363.5K

Liquidity

$265K

Bid / Ask

32¢ / 33¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

33¢

Start date

May 1, 2026

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
32¢$11,867
31¢$18,620
30¢$42,298
29¢$61,748
28¢$301,095
27¢$5,500
25¢$308
14¢$140
13¢$2,580
11¢$4,393
Asks (sell)Size
33¢$6,921
34¢$29,602
35¢$22,964
36¢$8,821
37¢$6,681
38¢$5,775
39¢$7,000
40¢$5,050
41¢$5,075
42¢$1,150

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
36 min. agoBuy33¢15
36 min. agoBuy67¢15
36 min. agoBuy33¢500
36 min. agoBuy67¢500
36 min. agoBuy33¢90
36 min. agoBuy67¢90
39 min. agoSell67¢100
39 min. agoBuy67¢100
1 hr. agoBuy68¢100
1 hr. agoSell68¢100
3 hr. agoBuy33¢1,000
3 hr. agoBuy67¢1,000
4 hr. agoBuy68¢16
4 hr. agoSell68¢16
4 hr. agoSell32¢6
4 hr. agoSell68¢6
5 hr. agoBuy33¢6
5 hr. agoBuy67¢6
5 hr. agoSell67¢25
5 hr. agoBuy67¢25
5 hr. agoBuy68¢2
5 hr. agoSell68¢2
5 hr. agoBuy33¢33
5 hr. agoBuy67¢33
5 hr. agoSell67¢8
5 hr. agoBuy67¢8
5 hr. agoSell67¢1,145
5 hr. agoBuy67¢1,047
5 hr. agoBuy67¢98
5 hr. agoBuy68¢25
5 hr. agoSell68¢25
5 hr. agoSell67¢2
5 hr. agoBuy67¢2
5 hr. agoBuy68¢2
5 hr. agoSell68¢2
5 hr. agoBuy68¢3
5 hr. agoSell68¢3
5 hr. agoBuy68¢8
5 hr. agoSell68¢8
5 hr. agoBuy33¢5,653
5 hr. agoBuy67¢1,145
5 hr. agoBuy67¢500
5 hr. agoBuy67¢4,008
5 hr. agoBuy33¢27
5 hr. agoBuy67¢27
5 hr. agoBuy33¢4,361
5 hr. agoBuy67¢965
5 hr. agoBuy67¢1,000
5 hr. agoBuy67¢6
5 hr. agoBuy67¢20

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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