Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 2 hr. ago

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

69 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +1.0%24h▲ +20.0%1W
Yes 69¢No 31¢

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

6 outcomes
See all 6 outcomes

Total volume

$336.6K

24h vol.

$59K

1w vol.

$182.2K

1m vol.

$284.3K

Liquidity

$293.6K

Bid / Ask

68¢ / 69¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

69¢

Start date

May 1, 2026

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
67¢$39,406
66¢$47,393
65¢$22,562
64¢$1,650
63¢$1,394
62¢$720
61¢$2,100
60¢$3,500
59¢$500
58¢$1,500
Asks (sell)Size
68¢$26,723
69¢$30,907
70¢$80,787
71¢$338,780
72¢$10,465
73¢$5,870
74¢$5,100
75¢$5,250
76¢$5,000
77¢$1,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 hr. agoBuy33¢30
3 hr. agoBuy67¢30
3 hr. agoBuy68¢691
3 hr. agoBuy32¢691
4 hr. agoBuy68¢1,471
4 hr. agoBuy32¢1,471
4 hr. agoBuy33¢8
4 hr. agoBuy67¢8
4 hr. agoBuy68¢10
4 hr. agoBuy32¢10
4 hr. agoBuy68¢230
4 hr. agoBuy32¢230
4 hr. agoBuy68¢64
4 hr. agoBuy32¢64
5 hr. agoBuy68¢14
5 hr. agoBuy32¢14
5 hr. agoBuy68¢22
5 hr. agoBuy32¢22
5 hr. agoBuy68¢4
5 hr. agoBuy32¢4
5 hr. agoBuy68¢5
5 hr. agoBuy32¢5
5 hr. agoBuy68¢15
5 hr. agoBuy32¢15
5 hr. agoBuy68¢200
5 hr. agoBuy32¢200
5 hr. agoBuy68¢2
5 hr. agoBuy32¢2
5 hr. agoBuy68¢6
5 hr. agoBuy32¢6
5 hr. agoBuy68¢15
5 hr. agoBuy32¢15
5 hr. agoBuy68¢338
5 hr. agoBuy32¢338
5 hr. agoBuy68¢269
5 hr. agoBuy32¢269
6 hr. agoBuy68¢74
6 hr. agoBuy32¢74
6 hr. agoBuy68¢103
6 hr. agoBuy32¢103
6 hr. agoBuy33¢550
6 hr. agoBuy67¢550
6 hr. agoSell67¢3
6 hr. agoBuy67¢3
6 hr. agoBuy68¢865
6 hr. agoBuy32¢73
6 hr. agoBuy32¢100
6 hr. agoSell68¢692
7 hr. agoSell67¢0
7 hr. agoBuy67¢0

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.