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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will AVAX dip to $4 by December 31, 2026?
6 %
chance
What price will Avalanche hit in 2026?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$876.109
24h vol.
$0.02
1w vol.
$342.55
1m vol.
$748.47
Liquidity
$91.393
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 9¢
Spread 7¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Jun 24, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 68¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (29)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 94 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 50 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 50 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 12 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 12 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 18 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 18 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 19 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 35 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 35 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 59 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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