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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will AVAX dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?
28 %
chance
What price will Avalanche hit in 2026?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$618.072
24h vol.
$0.02
1w vol.
$25.66
1m vol.
$468.204
Liquidity
$93.88
Bid / Ask
22¢ / 34¢
Spread 12¢
Last trade
6¢
Start date
Aug 25, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 220 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 89¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (20)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 21 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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