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Updated 41 min. ago

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Economy
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30 %

chance

▼ −4.8%1h▲ +11.0%24h▲ +15.3%1W
Yes 30¢No 70¢

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$96.3K

24h vol.

$37.8K

1w vol.

$47.2K

1m vol.

$73.7K

Liquidity

$9.6K

Bid / Ask

28¢ / 31¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

27¢

Start date

Jul 16, 2026

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
33¢$22
33¢$5
29¢$69
29¢$232
29¢$140
29¢$67
29¢$60
29¢$40
28¢$100
25¢$111
Asks (sell)Size
34¢$50
35¢$21
35¢$12
35¢$79
35¢$80
35¢$200
35¢$5
36¢$488
36¢$288
36¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 91%Sells 9%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoSell68¢50
1 hr. agoBuy68¢50
1 hr. agoSell27¢328
1 hr. agoSell75¢169
1 hr. agoBuy26¢10
1 hr. agoBuy26¢10
1 hr. agoBuy26¢61
1 hr. agoSell69¢9
1 hr. agoSell69¢50
1 hr. agoBuy32¢19
1 hr. agoBuy68¢28
1 hr. agoSell68¢28
1 hr. agoBuy68¢52
1 hr. agoBuy32¢30
1 hr. agoSell69¢10
1 hr. agoSell68¢11
1 hr. agoSell68¢1
1 hr. agoBuy67¢50
1 hr. agoBuy33¢45
1 hr. agoSell65¢5
1 hr. agoSell35¢0
1 hr. agoBuy35¢0
2 hr. agoBuy38¢100
2 hr. agoBuy62¢100
2 hr. agoBuy38¢1,652
2 hr. agoBuy61¢125
2 hr. agoSell39¢10
2 hr. agoBuy61¢300
2 hr. agoBuy62¢131
2 hr. agoSell38¢20
2 hr. agoBuy63¢100
2 hr. agoBuy63¢250
2 hr. agoBuy63¢250
2 hr. agoBuy63¢250
2 hr. agoBuy64¢100
2 hr. agoBuy64¢100
2 hr. agoBuy64¢5
2 hr. agoBuy64¢11
2 hr. agoBuy38¢24
2 hr. agoBuy62¢24
2 hr. agoBuy62¢121
2 hr. agoBuy38¢121
2 hr. agoBuy37¢1,690
2 hr. agoBuy63¢491
2 hr. agoBuy63¢226
2 hr. agoBuy63¢101
2 hr. agoBuy63¢200
2 hr. agoBuy63¢145
2 hr. agoBuy63¢45
2 hr. agoBuy64¢100

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