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Updated 26 min. ago
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
69 %
chance
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
5 outcomesTotal volume
$98K
24h vol.
$29K
1w vol.
$36.3K
1m vol.
$62.5K
Liquidity
$7.9K
Bid / Ask
67¢ / 70¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
69¢
Start date
Jul 16, 2026
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,758 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.5 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 100 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 100 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 0 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 0 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 63 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 58 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 5 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 200 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 63 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 30 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 10 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 49 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 43 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 5 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 357 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 46 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 97 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 9 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 100 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 100 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 21 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 21 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 64 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 85 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 35 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 110 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 25 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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