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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
17 %
chance
NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
19 outcomes- Jeremiah Smith50 %
- Darian Mensah17 %
- Trinidad Chambliss11 %
- Arch Manning8 %
- Sam Leavitt7 %
- Austin Mack6 %
- Gunner Stockton4 %
- Dante Moore4 %
- CJ Carr3 %
- Julian Sayin2 %
- Keelon Russell2 %
- Josh Hoover2 %
- Bryce Underwood2 %
- Kevin Jennings1 %
- Malachi Toney1 %
- Kewan Lacy0 %
- Byrum Brown0 %
- John Mateer0 %
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele0 %
Total volume
$9.2K
24h vol.
$3.2K
1w vol.
$4.1K
1m vol.
$8.3K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Bid / Ask
15¢ / 18¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
15¢
Start date
Jul 31, 2026
End date
Dec 27, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,878 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.5% resolved YES. That is 5.4 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 25 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 25 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 41 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 41 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 70 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 70 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 75 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 175 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 167 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 134 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 56 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 56 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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