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Updated 3 days ago

Will John Mateer win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?

Sports
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0 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▼ −0.9%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$860.5

24h vol.

$285

1w vol.

$285

1m vol.

$285

Liquidity

$821.65

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 31, 2026

End date

Dec 27, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$133
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$227
1¢$150
1¢$5
1¢$7
1¢$110
1¢$23
2¢$25
3¢$30
28¢$70
47¢$220

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (41)

Buys 77%Sells 23%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell0¢285
4 days agoBuy0¢23
4 days agoBuy0¢168
4 days agoBuy0¢15
4 days agoBuy0¢79
1 wk. agoBuy100¢10
1 wk. agoBuy0¢10
1 wk. agoBuy100¢40
1 wk. agoBuy0¢11
1 wk. agoBuy0¢10
1 wk. agoBuy0¢19
1 wk. agoBuy100¢28
1 wk. agoBuy0¢28
1 wk. agoBuy100¢85
1 wk. agoBuy0¢3
1 wk. agoBuy0¢82
1 mo. agoBuy100¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoSell98¢10
1 mo. agoSell2¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢35
1 mo. agoBuy1¢35
1 mo. agoBuy100¢85
1 mo. agoBuy0¢20
1 mo. agoBuy0¢66
1 mo. agoBuy99¢150
1 mo. agoBuy0¢35
1 mo. agoBuy0¢60
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy3¢46
1 mo. agoBuy97¢40
1 mo. agoBuy3¢40
1 mo. agoBuy97¢24
1 mo. agoBuy3¢4
1 mo. agoBuy3¢20
2 mo. agoBuy3¢41
2 mo. agoSell3¢41

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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