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Updated 3 days ago
Will John Mateer win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
0 %
chance
NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
19 outcomes- Jeremiah Smith50 %
- Darian Mensah17 %
- Trinidad Chambliss11 %
- Arch Manning8 %
- Sam Leavitt7 %
- Austin Mack6 %
- Gunner Stockton4 %
- Dante Moore4 %
- CJ Carr3 %
- Julian Sayin2 %
- Keelon Russell2 %
- Josh Hoover2 %
- Bryce Underwood2 %
- Kevin Jennings1 %
- Malachi Toney1 %
- Kewan Lacy0 %
- Byrum Brown0 %
- John Mateer0 %
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele0 %
Total volume
$860.5
24h vol.
$285
1w vol.
$285
1m vol.
$285
Liquidity
$821.65
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jul 31, 2026
End date
Dec 27, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (41)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 285 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 23 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 168 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 79 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 85 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 82 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 85 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 66 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 150 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 46 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 41 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 41 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
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