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Updated 1 wk. ago
Will Gunner Stockton win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
4 %
chance
NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
19 outcomes- Jeremiah Smith50 %
- Darian Mensah17 %
- Trinidad Chambliss11 %
- Arch Manning8 %
- Sam Leavitt7 %
- Austin Mack6 %
- Gunner Stockton4 %
- Dante Moore4 %
- CJ Carr3 %
- Julian Sayin2 %
- Keelon Russell2 %
- Josh Hoover2 %
- Bryce Underwood2 %
- Kevin Jennings1 %
- Malachi Toney1 %
- Kewan Lacy0 %
- Byrum Brown0 %
- John Mateer0 %
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele0 %
Total volume
$693.375
24h vol.
$263.879
1w vol.
$368.849
1m vol.
$618.875
Liquidity
$1.9K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 6¢
Spread 5¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Jul 31, 2026
End date
Dec 27, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 52 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 12 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 16 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 18 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 22 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 31 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 26 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 85 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 55 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 105 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 55 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 41 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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