NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner odds
Live implied probabilities across 19 outcomes · $281.4K traded · updated 2 hr. ago
Resolves Dec 27, 2026
Jeremiah Smith leads at 50 % · biggest 24h move: Kewan Lacy −17.3 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Jeremiah Smith50 %▼ −2.0%$224.7K
- 2Darian Mensah17 %▲ +1.5%$9.2K
- 3Trinidad Chambliss11 %▲ +1.8%$4.6K
- 4Arch Manning8 %▼ −4.3%$1.2K
- 5Sam Leavitt7 %▲ +2.2%$1.9K
- 6Austin Mack6 %▼ −0.5%$169.389
- 7Gunner Stockton4 %▲ +1.1%$693.375
- 8Dante Moore4 %▼ −1.1%$19.1K
- 9CJ Carr3 %—$2.4K
- 10Julian Sayin2 %▼ −1.4%$1.6K
- 11Keelon Russell2 %▼ −10.3%$6.9K
- 12Josh Hoover2 %▲ +0.5%$677
Market Guy's AI has analysed 1 of 19 outcomes — 0 disagree with the market.
See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner?
- Jeremiah Smith is the current favourite at 50 %, ahead of 18 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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