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Updated 2 days ago

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Tech
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77 %

chance

▲ +2.0%24h▲ +1.5%1W
Yes 77¢No 23¢

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

6 outcomes
See all 6 outcomes

Total volume

$141.5K

24h vol.

$1.6K

1w vol.

$27.9K

1m vol.

$115.1K

Liquidity

$8.3K

Bid / Ask

76¢ / 78¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

78¢

Start date

Sep 9, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
75¢$70
74¢$100
73¢$891
70¢$112
69¢$10
68¢$7
67¢$10
66¢$12
60¢$55
57¢$15
Asks (sell)Size
77¢$1,683
78¢$3,353
79¢$3,418
80¢$2,148
81¢$506
82¢$114
83¢$450
84¢$104
85¢$867
88¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 90%Sells 10%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy78¢20
2 days agoSell78¢20
2 days agoSell23¢84
2 days agoSell78¢14
2 days agoBuy23¢20
2 days agoBuy23¢50
2 days agoSell23¢4
2 days agoBuy23¢4
2 days agoSell24¢10
2 days agoSell76¢10
2 days agoBuy76¢14
2 days agoBuy24¢14
2 days agoSell25¢45
2 days agoBuy25¢14
2 days agoBuy25¢31
3 days agoSell26¢30
3 days agoBuy26¢30
3 days agoBuy73¢1,295
3 days agoBuy27¢20
3 days agoBuy27¢255
3 days agoBuy27¢1,000
3 days agoBuy27¢20
3 days agoBuy75¢20
3 days agoBuy25¢20
3 days agoBuy74¢180
3 days agoBuy26¢180
3 days agoBuy74¢20
3 days agoBuy26¢20
3 days agoBuy30¢27
3 days agoBuy70¢27
3 days agoBuy30¢10
3 days agoBuy70¢10
3 days agoBuy29¢11
3 days agoBuy71¢11
3 days agoBuy29¢11
3 days agoBuy71¢11
3 days agoBuy30¢10
3 days agoBuy70¢10
3 days agoBuy30¢10
3 days agoBuy70¢10
3 days agoBuy70¢40
3 days agoBuy30¢40
3 days agoBuy69¢308
3 days agoBuy31¢40
3 days agoBuy31¢268
3 days agoBuy71¢39
3 days agoBuy29¢39
3 days agoSell27¢278
3 days agoBuy27¢265
3 days agoSell72¢13

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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