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Updated 6 days ago

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
3 %
chance
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
6 outcomesTotal volume
$60.5K
24h vol.
$674.9
1w vol.
$7.4K
1m vol.
$33.9K
Liquidity
$11.3K
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 4¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Sep 9, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 92 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 92 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 34 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 4 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 921 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 97 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 90 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 734 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 7 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 98¢ | 7 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 0 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 0 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 3 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 2 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 220 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 220 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1,336 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 232 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 198 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 8 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 767 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 77 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 14 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 0 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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