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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Tech
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18 %

chance

▼ −3.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 18¢No 83¢

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

6 outcomes
See all 6 outcomes

Total volume

$50.2K

24h vol.

$777.085

1w vol.

$8.3K

1m vol.

$38.7K

Liquidity

$12.6K

Bid / Ask

17¢ / 18¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

17¢

Start date

Sep 9, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$1,132
17¢$1,789
16¢$925
15¢$196
14¢$98
11¢$64
10¢$83
8¢$50
7¢$143
6¢$1,050
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$1,089
20¢$3,408
21¢$5,633
22¢$2,177
23¢$3,226
24¢$2,717
25¢$1,442
26¢$1,362
27¢$1,342
28¢$460

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell18¢18
1 wk. agoSell82¢18
1 wk. agoSell81¢1
1 wk. agoBuy81¢1
1 wk. agoSell81¢103
1 wk. agoBuy81¢103
1 wk. agoSell18¢85
1 wk. agoSell82¢18
1 wk. agoSell82¢68
1 wk. agoSell82¢45
1 wk. agoBuy82¢40
1 wk. agoSell18¢5
1 wk. agoSell82¢60
1 wk. agoBuy82¢45
1 wk. agoBuy82¢15
1 wk. agoBuy19¢95
1 wk. agoBuy81¢95
1 wk. agoSell82¢188
1 wk. agoBuy82¢95
1 wk. agoBuy82¢73
1 wk. agoSell18¢20
1 wk. agoBuy83¢5
1 wk. agoSell83¢5
1 wk. agoBuy83¢30
1 wk. agoSell83¢30
1 wk. agoBuy83¢10
1 wk. agoSell83¢10
1 wk. agoBuy83¢84
1 wk. agoSell83¢84
1 wk. agoSell82¢32
1 wk. agoSell18¢9
1 wk. agoSell18¢23
1 wk. agoSell82¢50
1 wk. agoSell18¢50
1 wk. agoBuy83¢0
1 wk. agoSell83¢8
1 wk. agoBuy83¢8
1 wk. agoSell83¢10
1 wk. agoBuy83¢10
1 wk. agoBuy17¢2,805
1 wk. agoBuy83¢268
1 wk. agoBuy83¢30
1 wk. agoBuy83¢30
1 wk. agoBuy83¢120
1 wk. agoBuy83¢135
1 wk. agoBuy83¢50
1 wk. agoBuy83¢220
1 wk. agoBuy83¢50
1 wk. agoBuy83¢331
1 wk. agoBuy83¢404

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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