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Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Tech
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24 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 24¢No 77¢

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$140.3K

24h vol.

$5.455

1w vol.

$9K

1m vol.

$45.5K

Liquidity

$125.5K

Bid / Ask

23¢ / 24¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

23¢

Start date

Sep 17, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2030

ends in 3 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
23¢$7,428
22¢$22,445
21¢$67,715
20¢$1,353
19¢$260
18¢$200
17¢$3,569
16¢$94
15¢$9
11¢$3,500
Asks (sell)Size
25¢$19,990
26¢$12,091
27¢$2,428
28¢$400
39¢$13
40¢$12
47¢$9
61¢$500
62¢$106
67¢$303

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 43%Sells 57%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell23¢200
2 days agoSell77¢200
2 days agoBuy77¢199
2 days agoSell77¢63
2 days agoSell77¢136
2 days agoSell24¢3,853
2 days agoBuy24¢200
2 days agoBuy24¢200
2 days agoBuy24¢302
2 days agoBuy24¢360
2 days agoBuy24¢207
2 days agoBuy24¢200
2 days agoSell76¢200
2 days agoBuy24¢200
2 days agoBuy24¢400
2 days agoSell76¢50
2 days agoBuy24¢200
2 days agoSell76¢200
2 days agoSell76¢1,018
2 days agoBuy24¢105
2 days agoSell76¢11
2 days agoBuy77¢200
2 days agoSell77¢200
2 days agoBuy77¢302
2 days agoSell77¢302
2 days agoBuy77¢200
2 days agoSell77¢200
2 days agoBuy77¢362
2 days agoSell77¢362
4 days agoSell75¢5
4 days agoSell25¢5
4 days agoBuy76¢26
4 days agoSell76¢26
4 days agoSell25¢609
4 days agoSell75¢142
4 days agoSell75¢200
4 days agoSell75¢267
4 days agoBuy75¢30
4 days agoSell75¢30
4 days agoBuy75¢4
4 days agoSell75¢4
4 days agoBuy76¢22
4 days agoSell76¢22
4 days agoBuy76¢3
4 days agoSell76¢3
4 days agoBuy25¢1,502
4 days agoBuy75¢302
4 days agoSell25¢200
4 days agoBuy75¢1,000
5 days agoBuy76¢2

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