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Updated 20 min. ago

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

Tech
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18 %

chance

▼ −1.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 18¢No 83¢

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$267.3K

24h vol.

$91.3K

1w vol.

$96.9K

1m vol.

$249.5K

Liquidity

$141.5K

Bid / Ask

17¢ / 18¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

17¢

Start date

Sep 17, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2029

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$8,307
16¢$58,397
15¢$103,032
14¢$45,475
10¢$70
9¢$39
7¢$2,786
6¢$3,979
5¢$4,775
4¢$7,022
Asks (sell)Size
18¢$36,006
19¢$15,857
20¢$4,000
21¢$950
22¢$500
23¢$750
24¢$250
26¢$9
27¢$10
28¢$1,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoSell17¢6
1 hr. agoBuy17¢6
5 hr. agoBuy18¢11
5 hr. agoBuy82¢11
5 hr. agoBuy18¢6
5 hr. agoBuy82¢6
8 hr. agoSell17¢200
8 hr. agoBuy17¢200
8 hr. agoSell82¢8
8 hr. agoBuy82¢8
8 hr. agoBuy83¢1
8 hr. agoBuy17¢1
8 hr. agoSell82¢178
8 hr. agoBuy82¢178
8 hr. agoSell82¢48
8 hr. agoBuy82¢48
8 hr. agoBuy19¢6
8 hr. agoBuy81¢6
8 hr. agoSell81¢1
8 hr. agoBuy81¢1
8 hr. agoSell81¢133
8 hr. agoBuy81¢41
8 hr. agoBuy81¢92
8 hr. agoSell17¢660
8 hr. agoBuy17¢660
8 hr. agoSell81¢240
8 hr. agoBuy81¢240
8 hr. agoSell17¢8,333
8 hr. agoBuy17¢4,459
8 hr. agoBuy17¢660
8 hr. agoSell83¢1,163
8 hr. agoSell83¢216
8 hr. agoBuy17¢200
8 hr. agoSell83¢500
8 hr. agoSell83¢200
8 hr. agoSell83¢199
8 hr. agoSell83¢736
8 hr. agoSell82¢588
8 hr. agoBuy81¢26
8 hr. agoSell18¢562
8 hr. agoSell81¢6
8 hr. agoBuy81¢6
8 hr. agoSell81¢1
8 hr. agoBuy81¢1
8 hr. agoSell81¢36
8 hr. agoBuy81¢36
8 hr. agoSell81¢5
8 hr. agoBuy81¢5
8 hr. agoBuy82¢54,904
8 hr. agoBuy18¢562

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A signal is present in this market.

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