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Updated 4 wk. ago

Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?

Politics
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53 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +7.5%24h▼ −12.5%1W
Yes 53¢No 48¢

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

2 outcomes

Total volume

$4.5K

24h vol.

$291.448

1w vol.

$2.1K

1m vol.

$4.5K

Liquidity

$3.9K

Bid / Ask

50¢ / 55¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

53¢

Start date

Sep 22, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 54¢
Bids (buy)Size
40¢$27
7¢$9
6¢$202
5¢$338
4¢$561
3¢$922
2¢$2,247
1¢$3,953
Asks (sell)Size
94¢$5
95¢$138
96¢$25
97¢$223
98¢$56
99¢$673

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