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Updated 11 min. ago

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

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96 %

chance

▲ +0.3%1h▲ +1.3%24h
Yes 96¢No 4¢

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

9 outcomes

Total volume

$384.6K

24h vol.

$212.8K

1w vol.

$385.6K

1m vol.

$385.6K

Liquidity

$67K

Bid / Ask

96¢ / 96¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

96¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Oct 23, 2026

ends in 4 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,121 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% one day before resolution, 98.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
96¢$16
96¢$780
95¢$205
95¢$2,002
95¢$2,107
95¢$205
95¢$14,118
94¢$201
94¢$8,823
94¢$525
Asks (sell)Size
96¢$94
96¢$108
96¢$845
96¢$1,797
97¢$189
97¢$461
97¢$1,164
97¢$3,778
97¢$38,888
97¢$484

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 61%Sells 39%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
16 min. agoBuy4¢1,000
16 min. agoBuy96¢1,000
20 min. agoBuy5¢211
20 min. agoBuy95¢98
20 min. agoSell5¢93
20 min. agoBuy95¢20
29 min. agoBuy4¢48
29 min. agoBuy96¢48
30 min. agoBuy4¢1,000
30 min. agoBuy96¢599
30 min. agoSell4¢203
30 min. agoSell4¢198
31 min. agoSell96¢2
31 min. agoSell4¢2
32 min. agoSell3¢376
32 min. agoBuy3¢376
36 min. agoBuy97¢310
36 min. agoBuy3¢110
36 min. agoSell97¢8
36 min. agoBuy3¢93
36 min. agoBuy3¢94
36 min. agoSell97¢5
46 min. agoBuy4¢376
46 min. agoBuy96¢354
46 min. agoBuy96¢22
57 min. agoBuy96¢1,639
57 min. agoSell96¢8
57 min. agoSell96¢89
57 min. agoSell96¢341
57 min. agoBuy4¢1,000
57 min. agoBuy4¢201
1 hr. agoBuy96¢2
1 hr. agoSell96¢2
1 hr. agoBuy96¢2
1 hr. agoSell96¢2
1 hr. agoSell4¢2,000
1 hr. agoSell96¢2,000
1 hr. agoBuy96¢308
1 hr. agoSell96¢308
1 hr. agoBuy96¢112
1 hr. agoSell96¢112
1 hr. agoBuy96¢2
1 hr. agoSell96¢2
1 hr. agoBuy96¢2
1 hr. agoSell96¢2
1 hr. agoBuy96¢54
1 hr. agoSell96¢54
2 hr. agoBuy96¢2
2 hr. agoSell96¢2
2 hr. agoBuy96¢2

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