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Updated 4 wk. ago
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?
84 %
chance
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
2 outcomes- November 3084 %
- October 3153 %
Total volume
$2.7K
24h vol.
$5.237
1w vol.
$183.346
1m vol.
$2.7K
Liquidity
$3.7K
Bid / Ask
81¢ / 86¢
Spread 5¢
Last trade
80¢
Start date
Sep 22, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 53¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades
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