← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Auston Matthews win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?
4 %
chance
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
50 outcomes- Connor McDavid45 %
- Macklin Celebrini12 %
- Nathan MacKinnon9 %
- Dylan Strome8 %
- Quinton Byfield8 %
- Mitchell Marner7 %
- Kirill Kaprizov7 %
- Connor Bedard5 %
- Logan Stankoven5 %
- Will Smith5 %
- Rasmus Dahlin5 %
- Mika Zibanejad5 %
- Patrik Laine4 %
- Nico Hischier4 %
- Mackenzie Blackwood4 %
- Auston Matthews4 %
- Zach Werenski4 %
- Stuart Skinner4 %
- Jack Eichel4 %
- Mark Scheifele4 %
- Lucas Raymond4 %
- J.T. Miller3 %
- Dustin Wolf3 %
- Nazem Kadri3 %
- Adrian Kempe3 %
- Jacob Markstrom3 %
- Nikita Kucherov3 %
- Nikolaj Ehlers2 %
- Cale Makar2 %
- Logan Thompson2 %
- Jack Hughes2 %
- Evgeni Malkin2 %
- Linus Ullmark2 %
- David Pastrnak2 %
- Evan Bouchard2 %
- Connor Hellebuyck2 %
- Owen Tippett2 %
- Alexander Ovechkin2 %
- Filip Gustavsson2 %
- Matt Boldy2 %
- Jake Guentzel2 %
- Andrei Vasilevskiy2 %
- Elias Pettersson2 %
- Filip Forsberg2 %
- Jake Oettinger2 %
- Miro Heiskanen2 %
- Ivan Demidov2 %
- Brad Marchand1 %
- Aleksander Barkov1 %
- Alexander Nikishin1 %
Total volume
$598.853
24h vol.
$100.99
1w vol.
$210.99
1m vol.
$600.573
Liquidity
$704.028
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 6¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Sep 27, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 6¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (12)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
◆ Underlying asset
How far is the move, really?
Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.
Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature
See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.