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Updated 13 hr. ago

Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?

Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?

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45 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −12.4%24h▲ +27.7%1W
Yes 45¢No 55¢

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$9.7K

24h vol.

$1.8K

1w vol.

$7.8K

1m vol.

$9.7K

Liquidity

$1.2K

Bid / Ask

44¢ / 45¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

43¢

Start date

Sep 27, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
42¢$162
42¢$42
42¢$740
42¢$150
41¢$110
41¢$20
40¢$90
33¢$20
32¢$20
27¢$7
Asks (sell)Size
45¢$5
45¢$185
47¢$50
48¢$50
48¢$101
48¢$22
48¢$50
50¢$30
59¢$10
59¢$43

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
19 hr. agoSell43¢10
19 hr. agoSell57¢10
19 hr. agoBuy57¢49
19 hr. agoBuy43¢49
19 hr. agoBuy55¢92
19 hr. agoBuy45¢10
19 hr. agoBuy45¢50
19 hr. agoSell55¢32
21 hr. agoBuy55¢32
21 hr. agoBuy45¢10
21 hr. agoBuy45¢22
22 hr. agoBuy56¢30
22 hr. agoBuy44¢30
22 hr. agoSell45¢7
22 hr. agoSell56¢7
22 hr. agoBuy49¢20
22 hr. agoSell49¢20
22 hr. agoBuy49¢110
22 hr. agoBuy52¢50
22 hr. agoSell49¢60
23 hr. agoBuy49¢30
23 hr. agoSell49¢30
23 hr. agoBuy49¢6
23 hr. agoSell49¢6
23 hr. agoBuy49¢12
23 hr. agoSell49¢12
23 hr. agoBuy49¢30
23 hr. agoSell49¢30
24 hr. agoBuy46¢268
24 hr. agoBuy54¢50
24 hr. agoSell46¢21
24 hr. agoSell46¢197
24 hr. agoBuy46¢189
24 hr. agoSell46¢50
24 hr. agoSell46¢139
24 hr. agoSell56¢138
24 hr. agoSell44¢49
24 hr. agoSell44¢40
24 hr. agoSell44¢49
1 day agoSell42¢26
1 day agoBuy42¢26
1 day agoSell42¢20
1 day agoBuy42¢20
1 day agoBuy44¢4
1 day agoSell44¢4
1 day agoSell45¢408
1 day agoBuy44¢34
1 day agoBuy45¢50
1 day agoBuy45¢50
1 day agoBuy45¢30

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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