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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Kirill Kaprizov win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?
7 %
chance
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
50 outcomes- Connor McDavid45 %
- Macklin Celebrini12 %
- Nathan MacKinnon9 %
- Dylan Strome8 %
- Quinton Byfield8 %
- Mitchell Marner7 %
- Kirill Kaprizov7 %
- Connor Bedard5 %
- Logan Stankoven5 %
- Will Smith5 %
- Rasmus Dahlin5 %
- Mika Zibanejad5 %
- Patrik Laine4 %
- Nico Hischier4 %
- Mackenzie Blackwood4 %
- Auston Matthews4 %
- Zach Werenski4 %
- Stuart Skinner4 %
- Jack Eichel4 %
- Mark Scheifele4 %
- Lucas Raymond4 %
- J.T. Miller3 %
- Dustin Wolf3 %
- Nazem Kadri3 %
- Adrian Kempe3 %
- Jacob Markstrom3 %
- Nikita Kucherov3 %
- Nikolaj Ehlers2 %
- Cale Makar2 %
- Logan Thompson2 %
- Jack Hughes2 %
- Evgeni Malkin2 %
- Linus Ullmark2 %
- David Pastrnak2 %
- Evan Bouchard2 %
- Connor Hellebuyck2 %
- Owen Tippett2 %
- Alexander Ovechkin2 %
- Filip Gustavsson2 %
- Matt Boldy2 %
- Jake Guentzel2 %
- Andrei Vasilevskiy2 %
- Elias Pettersson2 %
- Filip Forsberg2 %
- Jake Oettinger2 %
- Miro Heiskanen2 %
- Ivan Demidov2 %
- Brad Marchand1 %
- Aleksander Barkov1 %
- Alexander Nikishin1 %
Total volume
$292.84
24h vol.
$84
1w vol.
$124
1m vol.
$294.56
Liquidity
$3.7K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 8¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Sep 27, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 6¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (12)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.