NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner odds
Live implied probabilities across 118 outcomes · $33.6K traded · updated 1 hr. ago
Resolves Jul 1, 2027
Connor McDavid leads at 44 % · biggest 24h move: Dylan Strome +6.8 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Connor McDavid44 %▼ −3.7%$9.7K
- 2Macklin Celebrini12 %▼ −4.0%$1.4K
- 3Nathan MacKinnon9 %▼ −2.8%$4.9K
- 4Dylan Strome8 %▲ +6.8%$192.28
- 5Quinton Byfield8 %▲ +6.5%$192.28
- 6Mitchell Marner7 %▲ +5.9%$136.38
- 7Kirill Kaprizov7 %▲ +1.3%$292.84
- 8Connor Bedard5 %▲ +0.5%$248.84
- 9Logan Stankoven5 %▲ +3.2%$136.38
- 10Will Smith5 %▲ +3.1%$138.1
- 11Rasmus Dahlin5 %▲ +2.9%$136.38
- 12Mika Zibanejad5 %▲ +2.9%$136.38
Show all 118 outcomesShow fewer
- 13Patrik Laine4 %▲ +2.7%$136.38
- 14Nico Hischier4 %▲ +2.6%$136.38
- 15Auston Matthews4 %▼ −0.7%$598.853
- 16Mackenzie Blackwood4 %▲ +2.5%$136.38
- 17Zach Werenski4 %▼ −0.3%$183.56
- 18Stuart Skinner4 %▲ +2.5%$135.28
- 19Jack Eichel4 %▼ −2.1%$181.84
- 20Mark Scheifele4 %▲ +2.1%$138.1
- 21Lucas Raymond4 %▲ +1.8%$136.38
- 22Dustin Wolf3 %▲ +1.8%$136.38
- 23J.T. Miller3 %▲ +1.2%$154.94
- 24Nazem Kadri3 %▲ +1.7%$136.38
- 25Adrian Kempe3 %▲ +1.0%$136.38
- 26Jacob Markstrom3 %▲ +0.4%$122.94
- 27Nikita Kucherov3 %▼ −1.0%$216.547
- 28Nikolaj Ehlers2 %▲ +0.7%$176.26
- 29Cale Makar2 %▼ −0.6%$387.828
- 30Logan Thompson2 %▲ +0.5%$136.38
- 31Evgeni Malkin2 %▼ −1.2%$176.26
- 32Jack Hughes2 %▼ −0.1%$177.94
- 33David Pastrnak2 %▼ −1.6%$322.84
- 34Evan Bouchard2 %▼ −0.4%$142.94
- 35Linus Ullmark2 %▲ +0.1%$136.38
- 36Alexander Ovechkin2 %▼ −0.5%$173.84
- 37Connor Hellebuyck2 %▼ −1.3%$194.54
- 38Owen Tippett2 %▲ +0.2%$136.38
- 39Filip Gustavsson2 %▼ −0.5%$122.94
- 40Matt Boldy2 %▲ +0.3%$136.38
- 41Andrei Vasilevskiy2 %▼ −0.4%$156.38
- 42Jake Guentzel2 %▼ −0.5%$122.94
- 43Elias Pettersson2 %▼ −0.6%$122.94
- 44Filip Forsberg2 %▼ −0.7%$124.66
- 45Ivan Demidov2 %▼ −0.7%$122.94
- 46Jake Oettinger2 %▼ −0.7%$122.94
- 47Miro Heiskanen2 %▼ −0.3%$136.38
- 48Adam Fox1 %▼ −0.9%$138.84
- 49Aleksander Barkov1 %▼ −0.8%$171.38
- 50Alexander Nikishin1 %▼ −0.7%$171.38
- 51Brad Marchand1 %▼ −0.7%$136.38
- 52Andrei Svechnikov1 %▼ −0.8%$171.38
- 53Brock Faber1 %▼ −0.8%$136.38
- 54Claude Giroux1 %▼ −0.8%$136.38
- 55Igor Shesterkin1 %▼ −0.8%$124.66
- 56Sidney Crosby1 %▼ −0.2%$138.1
- 57Alex DeBrincat1 %▼ −0.9%$171.38
- 58Elias Lindholm1 %▼ −1.0%$122.94
- 59Martin Necas1 %▲ +0.2%$194.54
- 60Artemi Panarin1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 61Cutter Gauthier1 %▼ −0.3%$135.64
- 62Darcy Kuemper1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 63Dylan Larkin1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 64Erik Karlsson1 %▼ −0.4%$124.66
- 65John-Jason Peterka1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 66Juraj Slafkovsky1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 67Kyle Connor1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 68Matt Duchene1 %▼ −0.2%$136.38
- 69Timo Meier1 %▼ −0.3%$135.28
- 70Alexis Lafrenière1 %▼ −1.0%$171.38
- 71Carter Verhaeghe1 %▼ −1.0%$136.38
- 72Chris Kreider1 %▼ −1.0%$136.38
- 73Ilya Sorokin1 %▼ −0.4%$122.94
- 74Jordan Binnington1 %▼ −0.2%$136.38
- 75Travis Konecny1 %▼ −0.4%$135.28
- 76Brock Boeser1 %▼ −1.0%$136.38
- 77Lane Hutson1 %▼ −0.4%$138.1
- 78Mathew Barzal1 %▼ −0.5%$136.38
- 79Sam Reinhart1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 80Victor Hedman1 %▼ −0.4%$138.1
- 81Wyatt Johnston1 %▼ −0.4%$138.1
- 82Juuse Saros1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 83Leon Draisaitl1 %▼ −1.1%$194.94
- 84Brayden Point1 %▼ −1.1%$173.84
- 85Clayton Keller1 %▼ −0.4%$136.38
- 86Jesper Bratt1 %▼ −0.1%$136.38
- 87Anze Kopitar1 %▼ −1.2%$171.38
- 88Brady Tkachuk1 %▼ −0.9%$136.38
- 89Tage Thompson1 %▼ −0.2%$135.28
- 90Adin Hill1 %▼ −1.3%$171.38
- 91Cole Caufield1 %▼ −0.5%$136.38
- 92Jason Robertson1 %▼ −0.7%$136.38
- 93Jonathan Huberdeau1 %▼ −0.8%$136.38
- 94Jonathan Toews1 %▼ −0.6%$136.38
- 95Jordan Kyrou1 %▼ −0.5%$136.38
- 96Kevin Fiala1 %▼ −0.5%$136.38
- 97Kirill Marchenko1 %▼ −0.7%$136.38
- 98Mark Stone1 %▼ −0.7%$136.38
- 99Matthew Tkachuk1 %▼ −0.6%$136.38
- 100Matty Beniers1 %▼ −0.5%$136.38
- 101Matvei Michkov1 %▼ −0.5%$136.38
- 102Nick Suzuki1 %▼ −0.8%$136.38
- 103Patrick Kane1 %▼ −0.8%$136.38
- 104Quinn Hughes1 %▼ −0.5%$136.38
- 105Robert Thomas1 %▼ −0.6%$136.38
- 106Roman Josi1 %▼ −0.8%$136.38
- 107Roope Hintz1 %▼ −0.8%$138.1
- 108Ryan O'Reilly1 %▼ −0.7%$136.38
- 109Sebastian Aho1 %▼ −0.7%$136.38
- 110Sergei Bobrovsky1 %▼ −0.8%$136.38
- 111Seth Jarvis1 %▼ −0.7%$136.38
- 112Steven Stamkos1 %▼ −0.7%$138.1
- 113Thatcher Demko1 %▼ −0.6%$135.28
- 114Tim Stutzle1 %▼ −0.6%$135.28
- 115Tomas Hertl1 %▼ −0.7%$135.28
- 116Trevor Zegras1 %▼ −0.6%$138.1
- 117William Nylander1 %▼ −0.7%$138.1
- 118Zach Hyman1 %▼ −0.7%$138.1
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner?
- Connor McDavid is the current favourite at 44 %, ahead of 117 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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