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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Matt Olson win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?

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67 %

chance

▲ +12.0%24h▲ +4.1%1W
Yes 67¢No 33¢

Total volume

$281

24h vol.

$61

1w vol.

$201

1m vol.

$281

Liquidity

$174.21

Bid / Ask

65¢ / 69¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

57¢

Start date

Sep 30, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 49¢
Bids (buy)Size
49¢$20
1¢$88
Asks (sell)Size
98¢$25
99¢$88

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (2)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy51¢20
3 wk. agoBuy49¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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