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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Carson Benge win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?

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6 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Total volume

$41

Liquidity

$84.461

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 8¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Sep 30, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$60
3¢$21
2¢$33
1¢$503
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$40
7¢$21
97¢$8
98¢$40
99¢$466

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (5)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell93¢20
3 wk. agoBuy93¢20
3 wk. agoBuy5¢21
3 wk. agoBuy95¢1
3 wk. agoBuy95¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.