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Updated 7 days ago

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

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30 %

chance

▼ −4.0%1h▲ +0.5%24h▼ −10.5%1W
Yes 30¢No 70¢

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$57.9K

24h vol.

$3.3K

1w vol.

$27.9K

1m vol.

$57.9K

Liquidity

$53.4K

Bid / Ask

29¢ / 31¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

31¢

Start date

Oct 6, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
35¢$747
34¢$986
33¢$188
32¢$5,290
31¢$1,063
27¢$60
24¢$21
22¢$620
20¢$700
18¢$600
Asks (sell)Size
36¢$116
37¢$66
38¢$453
40¢$53
41¢$38
42¢$245
43¢$200
49¢$50
50¢$295
51¢$495

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 26%Sells 74%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
7 days agoSell64¢66
7 days agoSell36¢66
7 days agoSell35¢102
7 days agoBuy35¢102
7 days agoBuy37¢99
7 days agoBuy63¢99
7 days agoSell37¢3
7 days agoBuy37¢3
7 days agoSell36¢87
7 days agoBuy36¢87
7 days agoSell36¢10
7 days agoBuy36¢10
7 days agoSell35¢149
7 days agoBuy35¢149
7 days agoSell35¢33
7 days agoBuy35¢27
7 days agoSell64¢7
7 days agoBuy64¢95
7 days agoSell64¢95
7 days agoSell36¢115
7 days agoSell64¢115
7 days agoBuy64¢50
7 days agoSell64¢50
7 days agoSell38¢2,297
7 days agoSell64¢170
7 days agoSell64¢56
7 days agoBuy37¢50
7 days agoBuy37¢50
7 days agoBuy37¢69
7 days agoBuy37¢99
7 days agoBuy37¢100
7 days agoBuy38¢87
7 days agoBuy38¢133
7 days agoBuy38¢50
7 days agoBuy38¢95
7 days agoSell62¢42
7 days agoSell62¢1,000
7 days agoSell61¢100
7 days agoSell61¢50
7 days agoBuy39¢147
7 days agoSell40¢16
7 days agoSell60¢16
7 days agoSell40¢5
7 days agoBuy40¢5
7 days agoSell40¢8
7 days agoBuy40¢8
7 days agoSell40¢12
7 days agoBuy40¢12
7 days agoSell40¢18
7 days agoBuy40¢18

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