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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?
78 %
chance
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$40.6K
24h vol.
$5.5K
1w vol.
$25.2K
1m vol.
$40.7K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
76¢ / 79¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
76¢
Start date
Oct 7, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 11 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 11 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 24 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 11 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 45 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 24 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 21 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 11 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 11 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 170 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 167 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 147 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 127 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 37 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 11 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 11 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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