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Updated 13 min. ago

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
28 %
chance
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
5 outcomes- Democrats Sweep63 %
- R Senate, D House28 %
- Republicans Sweep9 %
- D Senate, R House1 %
- Other0 %
Total volume
$3.7M
24h vol.
$34.3K
1w vol.
$245.8K
1m vol.
$1.4M
Liquidity
$3.2M
Bid / Ask
27¢ / 28¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
28¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 4, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 4 |
| 18 min. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 4 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 0 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 0 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 64 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 64 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 0 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 0 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 143 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 143 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 0 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 0 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 179 |
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 179 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 318 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 205 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 12 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 101 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 4 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 4 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 4 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 4 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 3 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 3 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 1,040 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1,040 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 34 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 34 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 9,500 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 295 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 937 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 937 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 624 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 833 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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