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Updated 28 min. ago

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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12 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.2%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$5M

24h vol.

$72.1K

1w vol.

$332.7K

1m vol.

$2.7M

Liquidity

$348.7K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 12¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

12¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$26,874
12¢$14,478
11¢$4,500
11¢$18,363
11¢$1,300
11¢$577
11¢$100
11¢$5,000
10¢$1,039
10¢$4,297
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$36,181
12¢$27,325
12¢$20,318
12¢$1,000
12¢$320
12¢$1,439
12¢$788
13¢$1,111
13¢$2,599
13¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 72%Sells 28%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
30 min. agoSell12¢9
30 min. agoBuy12¢9
2 hr. agoSell12¢500
2 hr. agoBuy12¢500
2 hr. agoSell12¢500
2 hr. agoBuy12¢500
2 hr. agoSell12¢500
2 hr. agoBuy12¢500
2 hr. agoSell88¢23
2 hr. agoBuy88¢23
2 hr. agoBuy12¢43
2 hr. agoBuy88¢43
3 hr. agoSell12¢2,600
3 hr. agoBuy12¢2,600
3 hr. agoSell12¢150
3 hr. agoBuy12¢150
3 hr. agoSell12¢150
3 hr. agoBuy12¢150
3 hr. agoSell12¢150
3 hr. agoBuy12¢150
3 hr. agoSell12¢2,000
3 hr. agoBuy12¢2,000
3 hr. agoSell12¢150
3 hr. agoBuy12¢150
3 hr. agoSell12¢500
3 hr. agoBuy12¢500
4 hr. agoBuy12¢51
4 hr. agoBuy88¢51
4 hr. agoBuy12¢9
4 hr. agoBuy88¢9
4 hr. agoSell12¢884
4 hr. agoBuy12¢884
4 hr. agoSell12¢2,516
4 hr. agoBuy12¢2,516
4 hr. agoSell12¢2,600
4 hr. agoBuy12¢2,600
5 hr. agoSell12¢1,116
5 hr. agoBuy12¢1,116
5 hr. agoBuy12¢632
5 hr. agoBuy88¢632
5 hr. agoBuy88¢17,836
5 hr. agoBuy12¢1,700
5 hr. agoBuy12¢100
5 hr. agoBuy12¢7
5 hr. agoBuy12¢1,200
5 hr. agoBuy12¢502
5 hr. agoBuy12¢177
5 hr. agoBuy12¢562
5 hr. agoBuy12¢362
5 hr. agoSell88¢466

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