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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▼ −0.2%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$12.7M

24h vol.

$12.2K

1w vol.

$35.2K

1m vol.

$111.7K

Liquidity

$180.7K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$20
2¢$499
2¢$3,100
2¢$3,371
2¢$2,031
1¢$23,466
1¢$96,470
1¢$161,889
1¢$213,928
1¢$23,369
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$163
4¢$154
4¢$7,000
4¢$8,313
4¢$1,328
4¢$277
5¢$277
5¢$277
5¢$277
5¢$277

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✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 56%Sells 44%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell2¢0
2 wk. agoBuy2¢0
2 wk. agoSell2¢204
2 wk. agoBuy2¢193
2 wk. agoSell98¢11
2 wk. agoBuy3¢38
2 wk. agoSell3¢38
2 wk. agoSell96¢6
2 wk. agoBuy96¢6
2 wk. agoSell96¢5
2 wk. agoBuy96¢5
2 wk. agoBuy3¢57,737
2 wk. agoSell4¢5,098
2 wk. agoBuy96¢4,000
2 wk. agoSell4¢325
2 wk. agoSell4¢800
2 wk. agoSell4¢6
2 wk. agoSell3¢200
2 wk. agoSell3¢50
2 wk. agoSell3¢336
2 wk. agoSell3¢14,000
2 wk. agoSell3¢8
2 wk. agoBuy98¢3,334
2 wk. agoSell2¢5,882
2 wk. agoSell2¢10,000
2 wk. agoSell2¢18
2 wk. agoSell2¢11,875
2 wk. agoSell2¢18
2 wk. agoSell2¢1,788
2 wk. agoBuy98¢12
2 wk. agoBuy2¢7
2 wk. agoBuy2¢5
2 wk. agoSell98¢5
2 wk. agoSell2¢5
2 wk. agoBuy98¢54
2 wk. agoBuy2¢54
2 wk. agoBuy2¢1,265
2 wk. agoSell2¢846
2 wk. agoSell2¢319
2 wk. agoSell2¢100
2 wk. agoBuy2¢1,260
2 wk. agoBuy98¢130
2 wk. agoSell2¢200
2 wk. agoSell2¢930
2 wk. agoBuy98¢14
2 wk. agoBuy2¢14
2 wk. agoBuy98¢20
2 wk. agoBuy2¢20
2 wk. agoBuy98¢6
2 wk. agoBuy2¢6

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