Spread: Chiefs (-16.5)

Market brief

• Down 10.0 pp over the past week, after touching 20% on Oct 19, 2026.
• Historically, 17% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (1,130 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 1, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,130 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 17.4% resolved YES. That is 7.5 points more often than their average price of 9.9% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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