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Updated 5 days ago
Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
86 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
10 outcomesTotal volume
$2.3K
24h vol.
$140.89
1w vol.
$1.2K
1m vol.
$1.2K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Bid / Ask
84¢ / 88¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
85¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (26)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 40 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 12¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 22¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 22¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 76¢ | 262 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 53 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 22 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 27 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 40 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 27 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 27 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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