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Updated 5 days ago

Will "American Doctor" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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55 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +6.5%24h
Yes 55¢No 45¢

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations

10 outcomes

Total volume

$980.544

24h vol.

$275

1w vol.

$980.544

1m vol.

$980.544

Liquidity

$1.6K

Bid / Ask

52¢ / 57¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

52¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 22¢
Bids (buy)Size
28¢$203
6¢$10
5¢$300
4¢$500
1¢$18
Asks (sell)Size
50¢$40
53¢$20
54¢$20
95¢$11
96¢$14
99¢$22

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (16)

Buys 89%Sells 11%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy45¢80
5 days agoSell46¢20
5 days agoSell46¢20
5 days agoSell44¢20
5 days agoBuy56¢20
5 days agoBuy48¢203
5 days agoBuy51¢20
5 days agoBuy51¢20
5 days agoBuy51¢20
5 days agoBuy52¢20
5 days agoBuy52¢23
5 days agoBuy52¢20
5 days agoBuy52¢20
5 days agoBuy52¢20
5 days agoBuy52¢20
5 days agoBuy52¢20

◆ Smart money

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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