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Updated 5 days ago

Will "14th" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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40 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▼ −0.5%24h
Yes 40¢No 61¢

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations

10 outcomes

Total volume

$1.2K

24h vol.

$284.6

1w vol.

$1.2K

1m vol.

$1.2K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

38¢ / 41¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

41¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 28¢
Bids (buy)Size
41¢$50
37¢$20
27¢$20
26¢$20
20¢$21
3¢$22
2¢$47
1¢$11
Asks (sell)Size
69¢$20
97¢$22
98¢$47
99¢$12

Snapshot from cache

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (24)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy43¢30
5 days agoSell43¢30
5 days agoBuy58¢30
5 days agoBuy42¢30
5 days agoBuy50¢20
5 days agoSell50¢20
5 days agoSell38¢20
5 days agoBuy38¢20
5 days agoBuy34¢366
5 days agoBuy65¢20
5 days agoBuy65¢20
5 days agoBuy65¢22
5 days agoBuy65¢77
5 days agoBuy65¢20
5 days agoBuy65¢17
5 days agoBuy66¢40
5 days agoBuy67¢20
5 days agoBuy67¢50
5 days agoBuy67¢20
5 days agoBuy67¢20
5 days agoBuy67¢20
5 days agoBuy67¢20
5 days agoBuy35¢3
5 days agoBuy65¢3

◆ Smart money

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