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Updated 31 min. ago

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?
65 %
chance
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$181.1K
24h vol.
$71.1K
1w vol.
$181.1K
1m vol.
$181.1K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Bid / Ask
64¢ / 65¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
65¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Oct 23, 2026
ends in 3 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 135 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 51.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 19 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 18 |
| 58 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 49 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 49 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 412 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 335 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 77 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 35 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 25 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 214 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 208 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 325 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 85 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 2,603 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 37 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 320 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 931 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 68 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 600 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 190 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 110 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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