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Updated 31 min. ago

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?
1 %
chance
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$92.8K
24h vol.
$48.9K
1w vol.
$93K
1m vol.
$93K
Liquidity
$22.1K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 1¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Oct 23, 2026
ends in 3 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 589 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 167 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 21 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 50 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,412 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 899 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 110 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 110 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 190 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 190 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 745 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 745 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 85 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 85 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 37 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 37 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 600 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 600 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 90 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 26 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 167 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 32 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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