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Updated 40 min. ago

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?
35 %
chance
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$119K
24h vol.
$39.3K
1w vol.
$119.4K
1m vol.
$119.4K
Liquidity
$8.1K
Bid / Ask
35¢ / 35¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
35¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Oct 23, 2026
ends in 4 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 135 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 51.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 6 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 6 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 41 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 41 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 18 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 8 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 33 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 33 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 18 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 0 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 6 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 6 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 6 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 2 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 2 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 2 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 2 |
| 59 min. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 41 |
| 59 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 6 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 108 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 88 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 22 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 22 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 147 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 147 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 770 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 570 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 167 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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