Updated 2 days ago
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
32 %
Commanders
Market brief
- Down 9.5 pp over the past week (−2.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 50% on Nov 3, 2026.
- Historically, 32% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (4,944 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 13, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
◆ Your call
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✦ AI assessment
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Commanders vs. Giants
29 outcomes- O/U 26.579 %
- O/U 38.559 %
- Spread -1.554 %
- O/U 40.553 %
- O/U 24.550 %
- Spread -2.550 %
- O/U 42.546 %
- O/U 44.544 %
- Commanders vs. Giants44 %
- O/U 46.543 %
- Spread -2.543 %
- Spread -3.542 %
- Spread -1.541 %
- Spread -6.536 %
- O/U 48.536 %
- Spread -4.535 %
- O/U 50.534 %
- Spread -3.532 %
- Spread -5.532 %
- O/U 56.532 %
- Spread -9.528 %
- Spread -7.528 %
- Spread -4.527 %
- Spread -6.523 %
- Spread -21.516 %
- O/U 62.515 %
- Spread -14.58 %
- Spread -17.53 %
- Spread -20.52 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
- Super BowlUpcoming dates, live prices and how accurate these markets have been
- Game page: Washington Commanders at New York Giants — schedule, venue and AI match scan
- NFL: schedule and season markets
- The NFL season and the Super BowlResearch library · Sports
- Kalshi vs sportsbooks: what actually differsGuide
Total volume
$44.8K
Liquidity
$44.8K
End date
Nov 13, 2026
ends in 1 day
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
31¢ / 33¢
Spread 2¢
Start date
Oct 27, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
No trades were found for this market.
Rules & resolution
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and Giants, scheduled for November 12 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Commanders" if the Commanders win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Event:
- Commanders vs. Giants
- Resolution source:
- https://www.nfl.com/scores
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