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Updated 11 min. ago

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
71 %
chance
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
3 outcomes- Pete Ricketts (R)71 %
- Independent30 %
- Democrat0 %
Total volume
$381.5K
24h vol.
$36.5K
1w vol.
$69.6K
1m vol.
$263.3K
Liquidity
$243.9K
Bid / Ask
70¢ / 71¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
71¢
Start date
Oct 13, 2025
End date
Nov 4, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,758 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.5 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 69 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 69 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 263 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 263 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 5 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 1 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 282 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 282 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 15 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 15 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 35 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 35 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 7 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 7 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 1,232 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 360 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 150 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 40 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 80 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 5 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 597 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 372 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 312 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 10 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 50 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 345 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 345 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 120 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 120 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 131 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 131 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 1 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 1 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 33,333 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 8,938 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 200 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 100 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 120 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 20,000 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 600 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 3,000 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 375 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 71 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 71 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 139 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 139 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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