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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Politics
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30 %

chance

▲ +1.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 30¢No 71¢

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Total volume

$235.6K

24h vol.

$25.3K

1w vol.

$66.3K

1m vol.

$163.6K

Liquidity

$376.3K

Bid / Ask

29¢ / 30¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

30¢

Start date

Oct 13, 2025

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
28¢$9,603
27¢$26,721
26¢$25,351
25¢$14,295
24¢$17,359
23¢$1,575
22¢$55
21¢$940
18¢$13
12¢$3,500
Asks (sell)Size
29¢$20,046
30¢$27,444
31¢$46,043
32¢$39,884
33¢$38,289
34¢$5,150
35¢$5,561
36¢$5,792
37¢$5,100
39¢$5,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 95%Sells 5%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy72¢14
1 wk. agoBuy28¢14
1 wk. agoBuy72¢10,000
1 wk. agoBuy28¢2,990
1 wk. agoBuy28¢20
1 wk. agoSell72¢50
1 wk. agoBuy28¢6,940
1 wk. agoBuy72¢45
1 wk. agoBuy28¢45
1 wk. agoBuy72¢44
1 wk. agoBuy28¢44
1 wk. agoBuy72¢45
1 wk. agoBuy28¢45
1 wk. agoBuy72¢44
1 wk. agoBuy28¢44
1 wk. agoBuy72¢45
1 wk. agoBuy28¢45
1 wk. agoBuy72¢44
1 wk. agoBuy28¢44
1 wk. agoBuy72¢17
1 wk. agoBuy28¢17
1 wk. agoBuy72¢17
1 wk. agoBuy28¢17
1 wk. agoBuy72¢17
1 wk. agoBuy28¢17
1 wk. agoBuy29¢52
1 wk. agoBuy71¢52
1 wk. agoBuy29¢124
1 wk. agoBuy71¢5
1 wk. agoBuy71¢119
1 wk. agoSell28¢161
1 wk. agoBuy28¢161
1 wk. agoBuy72¢1
1 wk. agoBuy28¢1
1 wk. agoBuy72¢5,000
1 wk. agoBuy28¢2,580
1 wk. agoSell72¢435
1 wk. agoBuy28¢1,500
1 wk. agoSell72¢100
1 wk. agoSell72¢385
1 wk. agoSell71¢1
1 wk. agoBuy71¢1
2 wk. agoSell71¢280
2 wk. agoBuy71¢44
2 wk. agoSell29¢60
2 wk. agoBuy71¢176
2 wk. agoBuy72¢5
2 wk. agoSell72¢5
2 wk. agoBuy72¢70
2 wk. agoSell72¢70

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