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Updated 4 hr. ago
Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
32 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 18 trades: 8 buys, 10 sells; the largest was $329 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 31% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,254 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 5, 2026).
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Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
4 outcomes- Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.560 %
- Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Game Spread +/-3.552 %
- Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner32 %
Total volume
$466.04
24h vol.
$411.501
1w vol.
$411.501
1m vol.
$411.501
Liquidity
$3.7K
Bid / Ask
30¢ / 33¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
42¢
Start date
Oct 28, 2026
End date
Nov 5, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,254 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.8% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 26.0% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Failed to load orderbook: Upstream request failed (404) for https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id=96230919088656372443504932914329122352517281957724565389700748430371501580770
Recent trades (18)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 83 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 211 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 12 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 382 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 26 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 1 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 300 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 100 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 7 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 20 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 2 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 6 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 8 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 55 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 382 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 26 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 3 |
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