← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 6 hr. ago
Game Spread: Lorenzo Musetti (-3.5) vs Arthur Fery (+3.5)
52 %
chance
Market brief
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (9,390 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 5, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
4 outcomes- Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.560 %
- Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Game Spread +/-3.552 %
- Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner32 %
Total volume
$4.4K
24h vol.
$4.4K
1w vol.
$4.4K
1m vol.
$4.4K
Liquidity
$1K
Bid / Ask
48¢ / 66¢
Spread 18¢
Last trade
55¢
Start date
Oct 28, 2026
End date
Nov 5, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 9,390 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (9)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 21 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 135 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 317 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 9 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 34 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 924 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 3,004 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 56 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 10 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner100 %▲ +27.5%
- Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev0 %▲ +0.0%
- Carolina vs Green Bay: Spread — Green Bay wins by over 3.5 points51 %▲ +1.0%
- Carolina vs Green Bay — Green Bay64 %▼ −1.0%
- Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun0 %▼ −65.5%
- Shelton vs Kym — Jerome Kym53 %▲ +26.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.