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Updated 3 days ago

Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12?

Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12?

SportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations Leagueuefa-nations-league

87 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h▲ +4.0%1W
Yes 87¢No 14¢

Market brief

  • Up 4.0 pp over the past week, after dipping to 81% on Nov 2, 2026.
  • Scheduled to end in 4 hr. (Nov 12, 2026).

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San Marino vs. Belarus

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$9.8K

24h vol.

$4.6K

Liquidity

$57.8K

End date

Nov 12, 2026

ends in 4 hr.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$9.8K

Bid / Ask

86¢ / 87¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

87¢

Start date

Oct 30, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
88¢$228
87¢$924
86¢$10,136
84¢$300
83¢$1,800
82¢$300
76¢$13
75¢$15
72¢$10
70¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
89¢$1,339
90¢$2,070
91¢$1,323
92¢$1,411
93¢$7,204
94¢$9,243
95¢$9,796
96¢$905
97¢$3,035
98¢$2,516

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (9)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoBuy89¢11
3 days agoBuy89¢53
3 days agoBuy89¢1,911
3 days agoSell88¢8
3 days agoBuy88¢68
4 days agoSell88¢300
4 days agoBuy89¢2
5 days agoBuy88¢57
5 days agoBuy88¢57
Rules & resolution

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between San Marino and Belarus, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Belarus wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Event:
San Marino vs. Belarus
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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