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Updated 16 hr. ago

Will Liechtenstein vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?

Will Liechtenstein vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?

SportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations Leagueuefa-nations-league

18 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −5.5%1W
Yes 18¢No 83¢

Market brief

  • Down 5.5 pp over the past week, after touching 23% on Nov 5, 2026.
  • Historically, 32% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (4,989 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Liechtenstein vs. Azerbaijan

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$97.059

24h vol.

$33.333

Liquidity

$17.4K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$61.059

1m vol.

$97.059

Bid / Ask

17¢ / 18¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

18¢

Start date

Oct 31, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$1,242
16¢$1,315
15¢$1,380
14¢$5,637
13¢$140
12¢$1,135
11¢$2,560
10¢$680
9¢$2,056
8¢$300
Asks (sell)Size
18¢$862
19¢$4,712
20¢$4,350
21¢$2,611
22¢$2,631
23¢$349
24¢$18
25¢$16
26¢$98
28¢$18

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (3)

Buys 44%Sells 56%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy18¢17
3 days agoBuy17¢11
1 wk. agoSell13¢36
Rules & resolution

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Yes". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Event:
Liechtenstein vs. Azerbaijan
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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