Updated 13 hr. ago

O/U 1.5 Rounds

SportsUFCGames

65 %

Over

▼ −0.5%24h▲ +15.5%1W

Over 65¢Under 35¢

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Market brief

Up 15.5 pp over the past week, after dipping to 50% on Nov 5, 2026.
Historically, 68% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% one day before the end resolved YES (3,600 cases). That is less often than their average price of 73% implied — prices in this range have run high.
Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)

4 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$2.4K

Liquidity

$2.4K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 3 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

50¢ / 80¢

Spread 30¢

Start date

Oct 31, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 28¢

Bids (buy)Size

50¢$2,150

31¢$5

30¢$686

29¢$213

28¢$88

27¢$151

26¢$95

23¢$326

22¢$234

5¢$15

Asks (sell)Size

78¢$5

79¢$150

81¢$10

82¢$2,000

83¢$18

88¢$587

89¢$785

90¢$545

91¢$800

92¢$88

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades

No trades were found for this market.

Rules & resolution

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Stephen Thompson and Charles Radtke at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Event:: UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
Resolution source:: https://www.ufc.com/events

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