Updated 3 hr. ago

UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
39 %
Cesar Almeida
Market brief
- Down 5.0 pp over the past week (−1.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 48% on Nov 5, 2026.
- Last 44 trades: 12 buys, 32 sells; the largest was $18K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 51% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (13,441 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
4 outcomes- O/U 1.5 Rounds56 %
- O/U 0.5 Rounds50 %
- O/U 2.5 Rounds41 %
- Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson39 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$36.4K
24h vol.
$29.8K
Liquidity
$36K
End date
Nov 15, 2026
ends in 3 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$36.3K
Bid / Ask
38¢ / 39¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
39¢
Start date
Oct 31, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (44)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 26 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 32 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 3 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 16 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 3 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 6 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 16 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 2 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 8 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 29,335 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 25 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 164 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 25 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 39¢ | 820 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 39¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 39¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 39¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 39¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 39¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 12 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 2,118 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 65 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 1,641 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 38¢ | 127 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 1,107 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 93 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 21 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 33¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 33¢ | 150 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 36¢ | 18 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 36¢ | 16 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 36¢ | 8 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 36¢ | 2 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 36¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 36¢ | 39 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 59 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to "Cesar Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Donte Johnson at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Donte Johnson" if Donte Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
- Event:
- UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
- Resolution source:
- https://www.ufc.com/events
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