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Updated 3 days ago

Will Norway win on 2026-11-14?

Will Norway win on 2026-11-14?

SportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations Leagueuefa-nations-league

80 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 80¢No 20¢

Market brief

  • Historically, 68% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% one day before the end resolved YES (3,600 cases). That is less often than their average price of 73% implied — prices in this range have run high.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 14, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Norway vs. Wales

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$2.7K

24h vol.

$56.413

Liquidity

$19.9K

End date

Nov 14, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$2.7K

Bid / Ask

79¢ / 80¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

80¢

Start date

Nov 1, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
78¢$1,777
77¢$131
75¢$1,000
74¢$1,000
73¢$1,000
44¢$2,071
43¢$28
6¢$8
5¢$300
4¢$1,500
Asks (sell)Size
80¢$795
81¢$1,116
82¢$1,525
83¢$1,402
84¢$2,500
87¢$2,697
88¢$83
89¢$7
90¢$2,284
91¢$408

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (5)

Buys 95%Sells 5%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell79¢100
4 days agoSell78¢5
4 days agoBuy81¢1,855
7 days agoBuy81¢86
1 wk. agoBuy81¢2
Rules & resolution

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Norway and Wales, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Norway wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Event:
Norway vs. Wales
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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