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Updated 2 days ago

Will Spain win on 2026-11-15?

Will Spain win on 2026-11-15?

SportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations Leagueuefa-nations-league

62 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h▲ +21.0%1W
Yes 62¢No 39¢

Market brief

  • Up 21.0 pp over the past week, after dipping to 41% on Nov 5, 2026.
  • Last 17 trades: 13 buys, 4 sells; the largest was $100 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 51% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (13,441 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Understand this market

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Total volume

$569.088

24h vol.

$7.613

Liquidity

$9.6K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 3 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$569.088

Bid / Ask

61¢ / 62¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

62¢

Start date

Nov 2, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
57¢$91
56¢$15
54¢$23
52¢$54
51¢$38
50¢$516
49¢$20
48¢$50
19¢$87
18¢$277
Asks (sell)Size
64¢$1,773
65¢$504
66¢$96
74¢$42
75¢$40
77¢$517
78¢$537
79¢$53
80¢$157
81¢$521

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (17)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy63¢158
3 days agoBuy62¢8
3 days agoBuy63¢2
3 days agoBuy62¢8
3 days agoBuy62¢23
3 days agoBuy63¢3
3 days agoBuy66¢2
3 days agoSell52¢2
3 days agoBuy63¢2
3 days agoBuy65¢8
4 days agoBuy80¢1
5 days agoSell50¢8
5 days agoBuy74¢9
6 days agoBuy85¢1
7 days agoSell78¢9
7 days agoSell78¢15
7 days agoBuy78¢26
Rules & resolution

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Spain and England, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Event:
Spain vs. England
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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