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Updated 17 hr. ago

Will Slovenia win on 2026-11-16?

Will Slovenia win on 2026-11-16?

SportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations Leagueuefa-nations-league

60 %

chance

▲ +1.5%1h▲ +24.0%24h▲ +20.0%1W
Yes 60¢No 40¢

Market brief

  • Up 20.0 pp over the past week (+24.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 36% on Nov 11, 2026.
  • Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (10,776 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 4 days (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Total volume

$1.1K

Liquidity

$1.1K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 4 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

54¢ / 66¢

Spread 12¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 12¢
Bids (buy)Size
56¢$10
14¢$5
13¢$29
12¢$108
5¢$10
4¢$300
2¢$1,515
1¢$770
Asks (sell)Size
68¢$10
70¢$5
71¢$18
72¢$18
73¢$18
74¢$18
75¢$18
77¢$57
78¢$8
79¢$18

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades

No trades were found for this market.

Rules & resolution

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between North Macedonia and Slovenia, originally scheduled for Monday, November 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Slovenia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Event:
North Macedonia vs. Slovenia
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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