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Updated 26 min. ago

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Crypto
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3 %

chance

▼ −0.4%24h▲ +0.4%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$1.1M

24h vol.

$4.4K

1w vol.

$7.3K

1m vol.

$34.1K

Liquidity

$14.7K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Nov 5, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$20
2¢$15
2¢$67
1¢$1,066
1¢$720
1¢$1,000
1¢$2,623
1¢$656
1¢$2,659
1¢$2,183
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$806
3¢$541
3¢$21
3¢$29
3¢$8
3¢$119
4¢$400
4¢$100
5¢$200
6¢$93

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoBuy97¢2
2 hr. agoSell97¢2
3 hr. agoSell97¢6
3 hr. agoSell3¢1
3 hr. agoBuy97¢5
4 hr. agoSell97¢7
4 hr. agoSell3¢7
4 hr. agoSell97¢40
4 hr. agoSell3¢29
4 hr. agoBuy97¢6
4 hr. agoBuy97¢6
7 hr. agoSell97¢2
7 hr. agoSell3¢2
7 hr. agoSell97¢2
7 hr. agoBuy97¢2
7 hr. agoSell97¢7
7 hr. agoBuy97¢2
7 hr. agoBuy97¢5
22 hr. agoBuy98¢2,264
22 hr. agoSell99¢103
22 hr. agoBuy2¢500
22 hr. agoSell99¢1,500
22 hr. agoSell99¢44
22 hr. agoBuy2¢77
22 hr. agoBuy2¢40
22 hr. agoBuy98¢525
22 hr. agoBuy2¢485
22 hr. agoBuy2¢40
22 hr. agoBuy98¢40
22 hr. agoBuy2¢40
22 hr. agoBuy98¢40
22 hr. agoBuy2¢40
22 hr. agoBuy98¢214
22 hr. agoBuy2¢174
22 hr. agoBuy2¢40
22 hr. agoBuy98¢122
22 hr. agoSell98¢17
22 hr. agoSell98¢65
22 hr. agoBuy2¢40
22 hr. agoBuy98¢1,152
22 hr. agoSell98¢100
22 hr. agoBuy2¢461
22 hr. agoSell98¢27
22 hr. agoSell98¢20
22 hr. agoSell98¢40
22 hr. agoSell97¢5
22 hr. agoSell97¢5
22 hr. agoSell97¢200
22 hr. agoSell97¢96
22 hr. agoSell97¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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All Bitcoin data on one pagePrice history, how the coin behaves, and every other open market that names a price level.

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.