Updated 46 min. ago

Set 2 Winner: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
0 %
Ben Shelton
Market brief
- At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $590 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (358 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 15, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
5 outcomes- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5100 %
- Completed Match100 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.50 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner0 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-3.50 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$9.5K
24h vol.
$9.5K
Liquidity
$19.8K
End date
Nov 15, 2026
ends in 7 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Last trade
28¢
Start date
Nov 7, 2026
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 93 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 58 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 77 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 172 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 80 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 181 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 220 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 96 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 44 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 79 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 82 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 57 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 123 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 58 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 96 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 240 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 240 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 44 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 93 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 62 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 237 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 300 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 140 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 135 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 287 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 54 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 55 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 28 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 52 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 195 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 62 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 93 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 91 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 109 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 41 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 694 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 96 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 33 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 39 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 130 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 24 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 196 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Ben Shelton” if Ben Shelton wins set 2. It will resolve to “Carlos Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
- Event:
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Resolution source:
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related markets
Open Sports markets from other events — closest to this one first.
- Manchester United vs Aston Villa — Manchester United48 %▲ +2.0%
- Cleveland vs New Orleans: Spread — New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points54 %▲ +5.0%
- Cincinnati vs Atlanta: Total Points — Over 52.5 points85 %▲ +35.0%
- Atletico vs Barcelona — Barcelona52 %▼ −3.0%
- Giants vs. Eagles59 %▼ −2.0%
- Las Vegas vs San Francisco — Las Vegas21 %▲ +1.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.